The excitement and anticipation surrounding the T20 World Cup 2024 have reached a fever pitch as India gears up to face Australia in their last Super Eight match. Scheduled for Monday, June 24, at the Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium in St. Lucia, this match holds immense significance for both teams as they vie for a spot in the semifinals.

India’s performance in the Super Eight stage

India have shown remarkable form in the Super Eight stage, securing two victories in their previous matches. Under the leadership of Rohit Sharma, the team has displayed resilience and skill, with key performances from players like Surya, Kuldeep and Jasprit Bumrah. These wins have kept their semifinal hopes alive, but the journey is far from over.

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Australia’s unexpected defeat

Australia, on the other hand, faced a surprising setback with a historic defeat at the hands of Afghanistan. This loss has complicated their path to the semifinals, making the upcoming clash against India a do-or-die situation. The defeat also highlighted some vulnerabilities in the Australian squad, which India will look to exploit.

Weather concerns in St. Lucia

As the match day approaches, weather forecasts predict a significant chance of rain in Gros Islet. With a 40-50% likelihood of rain from 10 am to 1 pm, there is a genuine concern that the match could be interrupted or even washed out. Such an outcome would have substantial implications for both teams’ chances of progressing in the tournament.

Scenarios Based on Match Outcomes

If India Wins:

A victory for India would solidify their position as the top team in their group, ensuring a direct entry into the semifinals. This outcome would also end Australia’s campaign, regardless of other match results.

If Australia Wins:

An Australian win would bring them level with India on points, potentially leading to qualification for both teams, depending on the net run rate and other match outcomes in the group.

If the Match is Washed Out:

Should rain prevent any play, both teams would share one point each. India would then finish the Super Eight with 5 points, likely enough to top the group and advance to the semifinals. Australia, however, would be left with 3 points, placing their fate in the hands of Afghanistan’s performance against Bangladesh.

Afghanistan and Bangladesh’s role

The result of the Afghanistan vs. Bangladesh match becomes crucial if the India vs. Australia match is affected by rain. An Afghan victory would see them through to the semifinals, while a win for Bangladesh would allow Australia to progress.